Service Plays Monday 7/19/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Monday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Johnny Cueto (8-2, 3.42 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

The Reds are just 2-3 in Cueto’s last five starts but you can’t blame that on the righty. The Cincy ace owns a tidy 0.82 ERA since June 18 and the under is 4-1 in his last five outings.

Brett Cecil (8-5, 3.97 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

It looks as though Cecil’s slide was just a minor blip on an otherwise impressive season. The young southpaw has allowed just two runs in his last two starts after surrendering 16 in previous three outings.

"It was just a matter of going out there and repeating my delivery, figuring out how to get the ball down after it's been up so long," Cecil told AP reporters after holding the Twins to one run over seven innings. "The ball was just flat. I didn't have downward tilt on it. Now I feel like I'm back where I need to be."

Slumping

Carlos Silva (9-3, 3.45 ERA), Chicago Cubs

You have to wonder if the lack of run support finally got to Chicago’s best hurler. Despite five quality outings from Silva, the Cubs were 1-4 in the big righthander’s last five starts before he took the mound against the Dodgers last week.

Los Angeles tagged him for six runs before he was ejected in the second inning.

"He wasn't driving off his back leg very well," Cubs manager Lou Piniella said after the game. "He should be much better his next time out, about eight or nine days from now."

Silva would certainly appreciate a little help from the bats. The Cubs are averaging just 2.8 runs per game in Silva’s last six trips to the bump.

Mike Pelfrey (10-4, 3.58 ERA), New York Mets

Pelfrey was originally scheduled to start on Saturday but was pushed back to Monday because of a stiff neck. Mets backers can relate: The big righty’s performance lately has been a pain in the neck for them.

The Kansas native has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five starts and he hasn’t pitched a more than 4 2/3 innings in any of his last three outings.

His last appearance might have been his worst of the campaign. He allowed 15 of 25 Braves hitters to reach base.
 
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HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (+105, 9.5)

Some teams just seem to have other squad's number. For the Brewers that number is 42, as in the number of times they have beaten the Bucs in their last 57 meetings. Or, more recently, 11, the number of wins they have in their last 14 meetings.

That includes a three-game sweep just before the All-Star break. Outfielder Corey Hart hit a walk-off homer against the Bucs, then drilled 13 homers in the Home Run Derby's first round and has been equally hot in a split with the Braves to open the second half.

"They told me he was a streaky guy," Brewers manager Ken Macha said of Hart, who has been the subject of trade rumors. "This has been a long streak, so maybe it's a trend and not a streak."

The same is true of the Brew Crew's mastery of the Pirates. Milwaukee has averaged eight runs per game against Pittsburgh this season while the Bucs have managed just over three per outing against the Brewers.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

Boston Red Sox at Oakland A's (+100, 8.5)

After suffering their eighth loss in their last 11 outings on Sunday, the banged-up Red Sox boarded a cross-country flight to face the suddenly hot Athletics.

The A's have won five in a row, scoring 40 runs during that span. But the real reason for the A's winning ways has been pitching and defense.
"We're all on the same page that way - playing good defense and throwing strikes - it's a great formula." Oakland pitching coach Curt Young told mlb.com.

The opposite of the case for the Garnet Garters, whose starting pitchers are carrying a 6.00 ERA in their last 10 starts and the offense is batting just .228 against righties during that span.

Not to mention a disabled list long enough to fill out an AL starting lineup. With the Yankees and the Rays pulling away in the AL East, this is a bad time for the BoSox to be making a West Coast road swing.

Pick: Oakland A's
 
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BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Monday's Wagering Tips

Lines Off The Board

Astros at Cubs: Total is off pending the wind direction and speed at Wrigley Field.

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Brewers at Pirates: Bucs flipped from -105 favorites to +105 dogs.
Giants at Dodgers: Total dropped from 9.5 at opening to 9 at most books.

Weather To Watch

Rays at Orioles: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Rockies at Marlins: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Blue Jays at Royals: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms, wind blowing out to left/center field at 19 mph.
Nationals at Reds: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Phillies at Cardinals: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Brewers at Pirates: 20 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Rays have won 11 of their last 14.
Giants have won nine of their last 11.
Athletics have won five in a row.
Cardinals have won five in a row.

Who's Not

Mariners have lost 12 of their last 15.
Red Sox have lost eight of their last 11.
Rangers have lost 11 in a row at Tigers.
Royals have lost six in a row.

Key Stat

10-10 - The Baltimore Orioles' record over the past 20 games under interim manager Juan Samuel. The O's were 19-52 before that relative hot streak and were reportedly ready to announce Buck Showalter as their new skipper this weekend, but they may have decided to Samuel a chance to show what he can do.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen is listed as day-to-day with a mild sprain of the AC joint in his shoulder after making a diving catch in Sunday's game against the Houston Astros. X-rays came back negative on McCutchen, who has never spent time on the disabled list, and he is questionable for today's game against the Brewers. He has been the Bucs' primary power source, batting .289 with eight home runs and 30 RBIs this season.

Game Of The Day

Phillies at Cardinals (-125, 9)

Notable Quotable

"I'm not really thinking about boxing right now.I'm just relaxing. I fought about 60 days ago, so I'm just enjoying myself, enjoying life, enjoying my family and enjoying my vacation."

Floyd Mayweather Jr. said Sunday when asked about his failure to respond to Manny Pacquiao's midnight Friday deadline to schedule their superfight.

Tips And Notes

Milwaukee Brewers manager Ken Macha complained to an umpiring official that his players are being hit by pitchers too often. The Brewers have been hit by a big-league leading 47 pitches this season after slugger Prince Fielder was beaned twice during the weekend series against the Atlanta Braves and had another ball thrown over his head. Macha spoke with former umpire Bruce Froemming, who now serves as a special assistant in the umpires department, about the matter. Sometimes the squeaky wheel gets to grease in the form of favorable strike zones and shorter leashes for opposing pitchers.

The Baltimore Orioles have been playing respectable baseball lately and they will get an extra boost of power when they activate outfielder Luke Scott from the disabled list today. Scott has been on the disabled list with a hamstring injury since June 30, about the time the O's started to break out of their season-long slump. Scott, who is batting .274 with 12 homers and 30 RBIs, may take over at designated hitter to put some extra pop in the lineup.

The Sprint Cup Series was off this weekend so the Nationwide Series stole the headlines in more ways than one. Carl Edwards banged his way around Brad Keselowski to win Saturday night's race on the last lap and sent his nemesis spinning into a dangerous crash at the finish line. NASCAR's new "Have at it, boys!" policy toward reckless driving is starting to get out of hand and this may be the incident that forces officials to draw a line in the asphalt. If so, look for rough-and-tumble drivers like Kyle Busch to suffer from a stricter policy and cleaner drivers like Jeff Gordon to reap the benefits.
 
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"Bulgarian Paid service"

Tromsö IL - Lilleström SK :bet on Tromsö @ 2,26
Sporting Fingal FC - Drogheda United :bet on Fingal @ 1,55
FK Jablonec 97 - 1. FC Brno :bet on Jablonec @ 1,68
 
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Smart Analysis Sports

1-1 on Sunday hitting Seattle +128

For Monday:

St. Louis (-120). 3u to win 2.5u
Arizona (-115). 1.73u to win 1.5u
Toronto (-140). 1.40u to win 1.0u
 
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FantasySportsGametime

Monday Baseball

100* Play Tampa Bay (-180) over Baltimore
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Baltimore has lost 20 of the last 25 games when playing on a Monday and they have also lost 18 of the last 20 games after scoring one run or less. Chris Tillman has lost 9 consecutive games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he is 0-2 in home games this season with an ERA of 7.37.



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50* Play Cincinnati (-170) over Washington

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Washington has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 16 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Washington has lost 15 of the last 17 road games when revenging a one run loss and they have also lost 26 of the last 33 games after being shut-out.



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50* Play Minnesota (-210) over Cleveland

Game starts at 8:10 PM EST



Cleveland has lost 16 of the last 20 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games when playing on a Monday. Aaron Laffey has lost 13 of the last 16 games as a road underdog of +100 or higher and he is 0-2 in road games with an ERA of 5.79.
 
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Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at LA Dodgers

The Dodgers look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 2-7 in its last 9 road games versus teams with a winning record. LA is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 19
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Capuano) 15.238; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 13.692
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Over

Game 903-904: Colorado at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.017; Florida (Sanchez) 14.598
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Under

Game 905-906: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martin) 14.361; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.489
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-175); Under

Game 907-908: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.986; Cubs (Silva) 15.797
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-170); N/A

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at St. Louis (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.681; St. Louis (Hawksworth) 15.323
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over

Game 911-912: NY Mets at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.221; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.711
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.157; Dodgers (McDonald) 15.708
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Under

Game 915-916: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.132; Detroit (Bonderman) 15.107
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.094; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.517
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 15.871; Kansas City (Davies) 14.465
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 16.957; Minnesota (Baker) 16.123
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+175); Under

Game 923-924: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.011; Oakland (Sheets) 14.964
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Over

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Hudson) 15.362; Seattle (Pauley) 15.526
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Over
 
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Hondo

Joe Torre's Burn-Out-Broxton campaign proved costly to Hondo yesterday when the Dodger closer wilted from overuse in St. Louis. That, along with Mr. Aitch's setbacks with the Rays and Tiger Woods, pushed the debt back into four figures at a crisp 1,030 bibbys.

Tonight, someone's going to man up in Detroit, and His Aitchness is guessing it'll be Feldman, not Bonderman, Jeremy Bonderman -- 10 units on the Rangers.
 
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Beatyourbookie pod 7/19

10* Play Chicago Cubs (-160) over Houston (POD)
8:00 P.M. EST

Houston is 8-25 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Wandy Rodriguez is 1-13 coming off a road loss the last 2 seasons
Carlos Silva is 20-6 as a home favorite of -150 to -200
 

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